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Solar autonomy scorecard · Modelled estimate

Can a business in Sweden run on solar and a battery?

With PV sized at 120% of annual consumption, a battery that carries one night covers 56% of the demand in Sweden; a battery holding three days of consumption lifts that to 65%.

Generation is strongly seasonal: the strongest month yields 17.2× the weakest, and the weakest month delivers only 0.9% of the annual yield.

In the three leanest months 25.3% of the annual consumption stays uncovered (189 kWh per kWp). Short-term storage cannot close that gap; it takes the grid, a backup source or seasonal storage.

Households pay on average 0.243 USD per kWh; the source publishes no business price.

Electricity price, businesses
not published
Electricity price, households
0.243USD/kWh
PV yield
900kWh/kWp
Seasonal spread
17.2×strongest ÷ weakest month
Three-day battery
6.2kWh/kWp
Lean-season deficit
25.3%of annual consumption

Two battery scenarios

Both with PV sized at 120% of annual consumption.

Day-night battery

Stores the daytime surplus for the following night.

Self-sufficiency
56%
Self-consumption
47%
Battery size
1.1 kWh/kWp

Three-day battery

Holds three full days of consumption, to ride through overcast spells.

Self-sufficiency
65%
Self-consumption
54%
Battery size
6.2 kWh/kWp

Generation and demand through the year

Share of the annual total per month. Modelled from latitude and climate class, not measured.

0%9%18%JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
PV yield Consumption
Weakest month
0.9%
Strongest month
16.3%
Seasonal spread
17.2×
Consumption profile
winter peak (heating)
Climate class
maritime
PV yield / Consumption — Sweden
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
PV yield (%)1.33.09.712.915.516.315.112.97.03.71.70.9
Consumption (%)10.39.89.08.27.47.06.66.67.48.29.410.3

A winter deficit short-term storage cannot close

In the three leanest months 25.3% of the annual consumption stays uncovered (189 kWh per kWp). Short-term storage cannot close that gap; it takes the grid, a backup source or seasonal storage.

Every modelled value for Sweden

The same fields as the downloadable dataset, with their definition.

VariableValueDefinition
ContinentcontinentEuropeContinent the country belongs to.
CountrycountrySwedenCountry name in English.
RegionregionClimate region within the country; empty when the country is modelled as one region.
Electricity price, householdsprice_households_usd_mwh0.243 USD/kWh USD/MWhAverage all-in retail price for households, national average. Static average, not a dynamic or market price.
Electricity price, businessesprice_businesses_usd_mwhnot publishedAverage all-in retail price for businesses, national average. Empty where the source publishes no business price.
PV yieldpv_yield_kwh_kwp900 kWh/kWp/yearEstimated annual yield of a well-oriented PV system per installed kWp, rounded to the nearest fifty.
Weakest month shareweakest_month_share_pct0.9%Share of the annual yield produced in the weakest of the twelve months (the wet season in monsoon climates, winter elsewhere). A perfectly flat year gives one twelfth per month.
Strongest month sharestrongest_month_share_pct16.3%Share of the annual yield produced in the strongest of the twelve months.
Seasonal spreadseasonal_spread17.2×Strongest month divided by weakest month. Close to one means flat generation all year; above ten means strongly seasonal.
Self-consumption, day-night batteryself_consumption_daynight_pct47%Share of the PV generation that is used on site with a battery sized to carry one night. Equals self-sufficiency divided by the oversizing factor.
Self-sufficiency, day-night batteryself_sufficiency_daynight_pct56%Share of the annual consumption covered by PV plus a battery sized to carry one night. Never above one hundred percent.
Battery size, day-nightbattery_daynight_kwh_kwp1.1 kWh/kWpBattery capacity needed to carry the night-time share of one day of consumption, per kWp of PV.
Self-consumption, three-day batteryself_consumption_3day_pct54%Share of the PV generation that is used on site with a battery holding three days of consumption.
Self-sufficiency, three-day batteryself_sufficiency_3day_pct65%Share of the annual consumption covered by PV plus a battery holding three days of consumption. This is the figure the energy-island assessment is based on.
Battery size, three-daybattery_3day_kwh_kwp6.2 kWh/kWpBattery capacity equal to three days of consumption, per kWp of PV.
Consumption profileconsumption_profilewinter peak (heating)Assumed seasonal shape of demand for the climate: winter peak (heating), summer peak (cooling), double peak or near-flat.
Lean-season deficitwinter_deficit_pct25.3%Demand that stays unmet during the three consecutive lowest-yield months, despite the three-day battery, as a share of annual consumption. It is what remains for the grid, a backup generator or seasonal storage.
Lean-season deficit, absolutewinter_deficit_kwh_kwp189.4 kWh/kWpThe same deficit expressed in kWh per kWp of PV.
Latitudelatitude62 °Representative latitude used by the astronomical yield model; negative is the southern hemisphere.
Climate classclimatemaritimeClimate class that sets the monthly cloud pattern, day-to-day variability and consumption profile.
Monthly yield sharesmonthly_yield_share_pct1.3 · 3.0 · 9.7 · 12.9 · 15.5 · 16.3 · 15.1 · 12.9 · 7.0 · 3.7 · 1.7 · 0.9Twelve values, January to December: share of the annual PV yield per month. Modelled from latitude and climate class, not measured.
Monthly consumption sharesmonthly_consumption_share_pct10.3 · 9.8 · 9.0 · 8.2 · 7.4 · 7.0 · 6.6 · 6.6 · 7.4 · 8.2 · 9.4 · 10.3Twelve values, January to December: assumed share of the annual consumption per month.

Download this scorecard as JSON

How the model works

Monthly PV yield comes from an astronomical model (latitude, declination, tilt) multiplied by a climate pattern for cloud and rain. Day-to-day variability follows a gamma distribution per climate; multi-day coverage is the sum of independent days. Seasonal consumption is set per climate: a winter peak for heating, a summer peak for cooling, a double peak in Mediterranean climates.

Fixed assumptions

PV sized at 120% of annual consumption; 55% of consumption falls outside direct sun hours; battery round-trip efficiency 92%.

What it is not

An analytical approximation, not an hourly simulation of your site. Prices are static national averages, not dynamic or market prices. The deficit is not a storage recommendation: it quantifies what remains for grid, backup or seasonal storage.

Sources

  • Electricity prices: national averages, Q2 2026.
  • PV yield: Estimates in line with Global Solar Atlas (World Bank / Solargis), rounded to the nearest 50 kWh/kWp.
  • Licence: CC BY 4.0.
  • Dataset updated 2026-09-22

From country average to your own roof

The configurator is not live for Sweden yet. See where it runs today, or ask us to model your site.

Sweden — solar autonomy in short

Can a business in Sweden go off-grid with solar and a battery?

With PV sized at 120% of annual consumption, a battery that carries one night covers 56% of the demand in Sweden; a battery holding three days of consumption lifts that to 65%. In the three leanest months 25.3% of the annual consumption stays uncovered (189 kWh per kWp). Short-term storage cannot close that gap; it takes the grid, a backup source or seasonal storage.

How large a battery does solar autonomy take in Sweden?

Per kWp of PV, carrying one night takes about 1.1 kWh of battery and holding three days of consumption about 6.2 kWh. With the three-day battery, self-sufficiency reaches 65%.

How much does solar generation in Sweden vary between seasons?

A well-oriented system yields about 900 kWh per kWp a year. The strongest month produces 17.2× the weakest: 16.3% against 0.9% of the annual yield.

What does electricity cost in Sweden?

Households pay on average 0.243 USD per kWh; the source publishes no business price.

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